منابع مشابه
Synchronic Bayesian updating and the generalized Sleeping Beauty problem
The two principal answers defended in the literature on the Sleeping Beauty problem (Elga 2000) are 1/2 and 1/3. Roger White (2006) poses a generalized version of the problem. ‘When the main arguments for the answer 1/3 are extended to the generalized case,’ he maintains, ‘they have an unacceptable consequence, whereas extending the halfer’s reasoning turns out rather nicely’ (114). Here I will...
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I maintain, in defending “thirdism,” that Sleeping Beauty should do Bayesian updating after assigning the “preliminary probability” 1/4 to the statement S: “Today is Tuesday and the coin flip is heads.” (This preliminary probability obtains relative to a specific proper subset I of her available information.) Pust objects that her preliminary probability for S is really zero, because she could ...
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area it does not cover concerns the trickier questions into their schedule. Although there will be a tendency that young investigators face when submitting their first to feel like this is the last thing that a new investigator grant. For instance, many PIs do not know how to direct should spend time doing, the book is well worth the their grant to the appropriate study section or when they tim...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Erkenntnis
سال: 2020
ISSN: 0165-0106,1572-8420
DOI: 10.1007/s10670-019-00212-4